A Butterfly Knife Sapphire Doppler Factory New surfaced on Skinport July 11 morning at €48,300 ($54,000) asking price. The listing is only the second Butterfly Knife Sapphire publicly listed on Skinport in 2026, and the first below the $60,000 mark since October 2025.
The Sapphire Doppler tier
The Sapphire Doppler is one of four rare-tier Doppler patterns (Sapphire, Ruby, Black Pearl, Emerald). Sapphire is the second-rarest of the four (after Ruby):
- Sapphire drop rate: Approximately 1.02% of Doppler drops (across all Doppler-eligible knives, per Valve fade-generation data)
- Butterfly Knife Doppler total supply: Approximately 8,400 known units in circulation
- Butterfly Knife Sapphire units estimated: Approximately 86 units globally
- Publicly listed in 2024-2026: 11 total public listings across Skinport, CSFloat, and Steam Community Market
The specific listing details
- Skin: Butterfly Knife | Sapphire (Factory New)
- Pattern index: 415 (verified via csgofloat.com)
- Float value: 0.01342 (mid-range FN — approximately 45% of Butterfly Knife Doppler FN inventory has better float)
- Sticker slots: 4× empty
- StatTrak status: No (regular)
- Skinport asking price: €48,300 ($54,000 USD equivalent)
- Seller: Verified Skinport seller — 96% positive rating (238 completed transactions)
Historical price benchmarks
Butterfly Knife Sapphire FN publicly listed transactions (last 24 months):
- April 2024: Pattern 218 — $52,300 (sold Skinport)
- September 2024: Pattern 84 — $61,400 (sold Skinport)
- February 2025: Pattern 312 — $58,900 (sold private negotiation post-Skinport listing)
- June 2025: Pattern 176 — $67,800 (sold Skinport)
- October 2025: Pattern 89 — $71,200 (sold Skinport)
- April 2026: Pattern 264 — $62,400 (sold Skinport — the only other 2026 public listing before this one)
- July 2026 (current): Pattern 415 — $54,000 asking (unsold at time of writing)
The current $54,000 asking price sits at the low end of the 2024-2026 range — the seller is priced for quick sale rather than pattern-lottery premium.
Pattern index tier analysis
Pattern index 415 is a mid-tier Sapphire pattern — not one of the celebrity-tier Sapphire patterns (5, 47, 100, 314, 500 are considered the premium Sapphire patterns). Pattern-tier breakdown:
- Celebrity-tier patterns (5, 47, 100, 314, 500): Approximately 20-30% pattern premium above baseline Sapphire pricing.
- High-tier patterns (nice-tier — visual sapphire body coverage 85%+): 0-10% pattern premium above baseline.
- Mid-tier patterns (visual sapphire body coverage 60-85%): Baseline pricing.
- Low-tier patterns (visual sapphire body coverage below 60%): 10-20% discount below baseline.
Pattern 415 sits in the mid-tier category — appropriate for baseline pricing.
Knife tier market context
The Butterfly Knife Sapphire market context:
- Knife tier YTD performance: +19% weighted average (per our mid-year 2026 skin market recap).
- Butterfly Knife family YTD performance: +24% weighted average.
- Sapphire Doppler family YTD performance: +21% weighted average.
- Butterfly Knife Sapphire YTD performance (across all patterns): +18% weighted average.
Trader desk read
Tier-1 trader desk expectations for this listing:
- Listed sale probability (July 11-25): 55% at the $54,000 asking price. Pattern 415 mid-tier tier + accessible pricing makes this listing appealing to buyers who missed the April 2026 pattern 264 listing at $62,400.
- Negotiation-to-lower sale (July 11 - August 1): 30% at a $48,000-52,000 range.
- Withdrawn listing (return to private inventory): 15% if no buyer emerges within 3 weeks.
The Butterfly Knife Sapphire cultural niche
Butterfly Knife Sapphire has a specific cultural niche — the deep blue sapphire pattern on the Butterfly Knife's animated deploy animation creates a distinctive inspection experience that concentrates streamer + high-tier collector demand. Butterfly Knife Sapphires appear in high-tier streamer inspection segments at roughly 3× the rate of Butterfly Knife Rubies (per Twitch inspection-metadata aggregation).
