The IEM Cologne 2026 sticker capsule cycle has entered the results-driven phase. The Day 14 snapshot on June 3 evening shows the first bracket-driven price moves in the Group B team holos:
Group B holos — winners
- paiN holo: +18% three-day on the 2-0 Stage 1 start. The Brazilian supporter base provides the structural demand floor, and the 16-13 win over FlyQuest on Day 1 plus the 13-9 win over ECSTATIC on Day 2 lifted the speculative bid.
- Chinggis Warriors holo: +41% three-day on the SINNERS upset. Coming off the lowest pre-Major holo floor in Group B, the Chinggis Warriors holo had room to run on any positive result. The 13-8 over SINNERS - the first Major win in Mongolian CS history - delivered the trigger.
- GamerLegion holo: +12% on the 2-0 path. The analyst-favourite favourite move played through.
- BetBoom holo: +9% on 2-0. Modest move, with the BetBoom holo already pricing in the consensus advancement expectation pre-bracket.
- B8 holo: +7% on the 2-0 path. The narrow B8 supporter base limits the speculative response window.
Group B holos — losers
- SINNERS holo: -14% three-day on the 0-2 path. The structural drop reflects the Day 3 elimination match exposure.
- Imperial holo: -11% on 0-2. The Brazilian side's drop is the second-largest negative move in the Group B field.
- M80 holo: -7% on 0-2 (eliminated by 3DMAX 13-4).
- Wildcard holo: -5% on 0-2.
Group A holos — pre-Stage-2 positioning continues
Group A team holos (the Stage 2 Legends seeds) have continued their pre-bracket trajectory rather than responding to Stage 1. Vitality holo +33%, Spirit +28%, NAVI +22%, MOUZ +14%, Falcons +12%, FURIA +9%, Aurora +7%, MongolZ +18%, PARIVISION +9%. The pricing waits for the Stage 2 opener on June 6 before the second results-driven wave begins.
What Day 3 will move
Day 3 produces the first Stage 2 advancement locks (3-0 sides) and the first Stage 1 eliminations (0-3 sides). The locked-in advancement should drive a 15-25% rally on the four winning holos, while the eliminated holos typically drop 30-40% as exposure to the Major narrative ends. The full Group B universe should experience meaningful price discovery across the Day 3-5 window.
Daily tracking across all sources is in the SkinPulse Skin Database.
