A Karambit Fade FN with a 99.6% Fade percentage (pattern index 4) surfaced on Skinport July 6 evening at €68,400 ($76,200) asking price. The listing is the third-highest Fade percentage on any Karambit publicly listed on Skinport in the platform's history. The highest known Karambit Fade sits at 99.9% (a private collection piece — never publicly listed).
The Fade percentage pattern lottery
Karambit Fade Fade-percentage distribution (per Valve's fade-generation algorithm):
- 100% Fade (theoretical maximum): Cannot be reached — algorithm caps at 99.9% for Karambit Fade.
- 99.9% Fade tier (3 known): Highest-ever surfacing. Two publicly listed historically (both sold private negotiation post-listing), one confirmed in private collection.
- 99.6-99.8% Fade tier (~50 known): Ultra-rare tier. Prior Karambit Fade publicly listed at 99.6% was March 2024 (sold for $71,400 at the time — approximately $89,000 in 2026 dollars adjusted for the general Karambit Fade market appreciation).
- 99.0-99.5% Fade tier (~180 known): Very rare tier. Public listings appear approximately every 3-4 months.
- 95-99% Fade tier (~750 known): Standard "high Fade" tier. Public listings appear monthly.
- Below 95% Fade tier: Standard Karambit Fade market.
The specific listing details
- Skin: Karambit | Fade (Factory New)
- Fade percentage: 99.6% (per csgofloat.com verification)
- Pattern index: 4 (rare-tier pattern)
- Float: 0.00287 (near-lowest float achievable — approximately 0.5% of Karambit Fade FN inventory below this float)
- Sticker slots: 4× empty
- StatTrak status: No (regular)
- Skinport asking price: €68,400 ($76,200 USD equivalent)
- Seller: Verified Skinport seller with 100% positive rating history (487 completed transactions)
Historical price benchmarks
Karambit Fade high-tier public listings (last 24 months):
- March 2024: 99.6% Fade — $71,400 (sold Skinport)
- September 2024: 99.4% Fade — $58,900 (sold Skinport)
- February 2025: 99.5% Fade — $64,200 (sold Skinport)
- August 2025: 99.7% Fade — $92,300 (sold private negotiation post-Skinport listing)
- January 2026: 99.4% Fade — $71,800 (sold Skinport)
- July 2026 (current): 99.6% Fade — $76,200 asking (unsold at time of writing)
The current $76,200 asking price sits at the median of comparable historic high-tier Karambit Fade transactions, adjusted to 2026 dollars.
The Karambit Fade market context
Karambit Fade has been the top-performing knife-tier skin YTD 2026 at +34% weighted average (across all Fade percentages). The overall knife tier YTD is +19%, and Karambit-family YTD is +28% — Karambit Fade specifically outperforms both because:
- Crypto-buyer preference: High-tier knife-skin buyers in the 2025-2026 window preferred Karambit Fade over Butterfly Fade or Talon Fade for brand-recognition reasons.
- Pattern-lottery premium sustained: The 99%+ Fade tier traded at premium multiples throughout 2025 as trader-desks accumulated pattern-lottery positions.
- Streamer visibility: High-tier Karambit Fades are the canonical "streamer inspection skin" — the visible Fade percentage on-stream creates buyer discovery.
What the trader desk expects
Tier-1 trader desk expectations for this specific listing:
- Listed sale probability (July 6-13): 45% at the $76,200 asking price.
- Negotiation-to-lower sale (July 6-20): 35% at a $68,000-72,000 range.
- Withdrawn listing (return to private inventory): 20% if no buyer emerges within 2 weeks.
