Twenty-four days into the IEM Cologne 2026 sticker capsule cycle and four days before the Stage 3 (Champions) bracket opens, the secondary-market snapshot on June 13 evening:
Champions advancer holos — pre-bracket reads
- The MongolZ holo: $2.38 mean (+138% from launch baseline). The continuing rally on the Champions appearance has the holo reading 14% higher than the June 11 +124% snapshot. The bLitz player-gold ($82 mean) and the team-holo speculative bid are the two compounding drivers.
- Vitality holo: $1.91 mean (+91%).
- Spirit holo: $1.68 mean (+68%).
- NAVI holo: $1.62 mean (+62%).
- paiN holo: $1.58 mean (+58%).
- Aurora holo: $1.52 mean (+52%).
- MOUZ holo: $1.49 mean (+49%).
- Falcons holo: $1.42 mean (+42%).
Champions capsule
The Champions capsule has stepped up to $2.40 mean (+142% from $0.99 launch floor) on the pre-bracket speculative bid for the eight Champions teams. The Champions capsule populates with team holos for the top-8 sides only, so the eight Champions advancer team list ties directly to the capsule's underlying value. The current $2.40 mean implies a ~$0.30 expected-value-per-team-holo read across the eight slots, which the eight current team-holo values comfortably exceed (the average is $1.70).
Eliminated-side holos
The eight eliminated team holos have settled at the post-Stage-2 floors: GamerLegion -42%, Metizport -38%, FlyQuest -34%, FURIA -27%, BetBoom -24%, 3DMAX -22%, B8 -17%, HEROIC -16%. The slight recovery in the deepest-cut holos (GamerLegion, Metizport, FlyQuest) over the past 48 hours reflects collector-bid-floor support rather than narrative-driven rally — the deepest-cut sides have absorbed the negative momentum and the holos have stopped falling.
What Champions QF1 will move
The Vitality-Aurora QF1 on June 17 produces the first Stage 3 winner. Historical Major Stage-3-QF-winner team holos rally 20-35% in the 48 hours after the QF win. The MongolZ-paiN QF2 carries the broader market-attention weight — a MongolZ semifinal appearance would extend the cycle's record rally further. Daily tracking in the SkinPulse Skin Database.
