Capsule Cycle Day 22 — MongolZ Holo at +124%, Vitality +84%, Eliminated-Side Holos Find Floors Pre-Champions

Capsule Cycle Day 22 — MongolZ Holo at +124%, Vitality +84%, Eliminated-Side Holos Find Floors Pre-Champions

Twenty-two days into the IEM Cologne 2026 sticker capsule cycle and one day after Stage 2 close, the secondary-market snapshot on June 11 morning:

The eight Champions advancers' team holos

  • The MongolZ holo: $2.24 mean (+124% from launch). The largest sustained rally in any single Major cycle on record — the 3-0 Stage 2 lock plus the historic-debutant narrative are compounding the speculative bid.
  • Vitality holo: $1.84 mean (+84%). 3-0 Stage 2 path plus the marquee-favourite collector demand.
  • Spirit holo: $1.62 mean (+62%). 3-1 Stage 2.
  • NAVI holo: $1.58 mean (+58%). 3-1 Stage 2.
  • paiN holo: $1.52 mean (+52%). 3-2 Champions advance — first Brazilian Champions appearance since 2024, with the supporter-base demand structurally supporting the floor.
  • Aurora holo: $1.47 mean (+47%).
  • MOUZ holo: $1.44 mean (+44%).
  • Falcons holo: $1.38 mean (+38%). 3-2 with the longest Champions path of the eight advancers.

The eight eliminated holos

  • GamerLegion: -45% from launch baseline. The largest single-cycle drop in a Major capsule market, matching the Stage 1-to-Stage 2 favourite-implosion narrative.
  • Metizport: -42% (0-3 Stage 2 elim).
  • FlyQuest: -38% (0-3 Stage 2 elim).
  • FURIA: -29% (1-3 elim).
  • BetBoom: -27% (1-3 elim).
  • 3DMAX: -24% (1-3 elim).
  • B8: -19% (2-3 elim).
  • HEROIC: -18% (2-3 elim).

The MongolZ player gold

The bLitz player-gold sticker has moved from $14 on May 30 to $73 on June 11 — the largest player-gold rally of the cycle. The bLitz reading now sits above ZywOo gold ($58), donk gold ($54), and w0nderful gold ($49) — bLitz is the new player-gold top-tier on the secondary market, driven by the Mongolian-CS-history narrative compounding the on-stage performance.

What Champions bracket opens

Stage 3 opens June 17 at the LANXESS arena. The four QF reads imply further team-holo movement based on outcomes: a Vitality SF appearance drives a further 25-40% rally on the Vitality holo, a MongolZ SF appearance drives 30-50%, and a Vitality-MongolZ grand final scenario produces the largest speculative end-cycle rally on record. The eliminated-side holos have largely found their cycle floors at the current -45% to -18% spread. Daily tracking in the SkinPulse Skin Database.

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